FED director Mr Bernanke is now starting his speech in the Jackson Hole FED-bank conference.
The market participants are now waiting for news about the economy. Last year a big rally started in the stock market that lasted until this summer.
This time people do not seem that optimistic about the things Bernanke has left to offer. A Quantitative Easing number 3 is what many hopes for to help inject money into the markets. But even if that comes that is no guarantee for a raising stock market.
The positive side, I think, is that so many are negative now and not many believe in a strong stock market. That is the only, but very important, tell that we might enjoy some strength in the market.
But beware of volatility. Always take smaller trade sizes during times of high volatility. More about trade sizing in later posts.
S&P 500 is at this time down 1,3% to 1144.
POST-MEETING UPDATE 16:48 CET
No specific information about quantitative easing was given as most had expected. But Bernanke said that the U.S. Federal Reserve will do what is necessary to support the economic recovery. — Suprise suprise!
The recovery in the U.S. economy remains modest. The recovery is slower than the Fed had hoped for, but the Fed continues to expect better growth in the second half of 2011. — I think you should change the world “expect” for “hope for”. What they or any expert expect is rarely what happens.
While noted a significant growth in the global economy and America’s banking sector is generally in much better shape now, says Bernanke, and I believe him, but it is not now I am worried about. It is tomorrow or next year. Warren Buffet also seems to believe in the American banking system. Google Buffet + BAC for more info about his latest investment.
The Federal Reserve has a number of tools that could be used to provide additional monetary stimulus. We discussed the relative merits and costs of such tools at our August meeting. — They might have the holy grail but they have not used it yet and do not want to tell us about it.
Their next meeting is in one month.
S&P 500 is at this time down 0,7% to 1152.